Bassin d'Arcachon Sud vs Colomiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
54.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+134%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
11º
11º
9
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
10 | 45 |
1º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 39 |
3º
|
8% | |
|
|
3º
|
9 | 39 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 38 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 38 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 37 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 37 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 34 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
12 | 34 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 33 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 31 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 20 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
46.5% | 67% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
40% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 2
BAS
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 0
TRE
13%
18%
68%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +3 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 2
TRE
12%
21%
67%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
SAU
10%
18%
72%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | +4 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
BAS
3 - 3
BRE
18%
23%
59%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Colomiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
GDB
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
FCP
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
COL
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 2
COL
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
LES
32%
29%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |