Bassecourt vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassecourt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
BLA
5 - 0
BAS
81%
12%
8%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
ZUG
3 - 3
BAS
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 0
LAN
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 1
BUO
11%
15%
74%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SCH
3 - 2
BAS
70%
17%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
FCS
0 - 3
SOL
12%
19%
69%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MUN
5 - 1
FCS
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
FCS
0 - 1
GRA
19%
21%
60%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
FCS
3 - 2
BAD
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LUZ
2 - 1
FCS
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |