Bassano Virtus vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassano Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
BV5
0 - 1
USA
34%
28%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
USC
0 - 0
BV5
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BV5
0 - 0
REG
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SPE
1 - 0
BV5
48%
28%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BV5
2 - 2
COM
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 2
CAS
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 1
VIR
54%
26%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
SSB
55%
26%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ASL
2 - 0
VIR
44%
28%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 1
PIS
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |