Bassano Virtus vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassano Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FER
0 - 0
BV5
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BV5
1 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
BV5
61%
24%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BV5
0 - 1
SSB
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 0
BV5
37%
29%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SIR
1 - 3
FCS
49%
27%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SIR
3 - 1
TRA
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
PER
2 - 0
SIR
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SIR
0 - 0
USC
21%
26%
53%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FER
1 - 2
SIR
26%
26%
49%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |