Bassano Virtus vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassano Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAS
0 - 1
BV5
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ACL
0 - 1
BV5
35%
27%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 2
BV5
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BV5
1 - 2
NOV
17%
24%
59%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 0
BV5
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 0
ACL
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GER
1 - 2
PRO
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 0
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 1
COM
24%
26%
50%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 0
PRO
52%
24%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |