Bassano Virtus vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassano Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ABN
0 - 0
BV5
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BV5
1 - 0
FCS
43%
28%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
BV5
64%
20%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
BV5
3 - 1
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
RAV
1 - 2
BV5
38%
27%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
FER
4 - 2
TER
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MES
0 - 1
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
FER
0 - 1
FCS
35%
28%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
SSS
3 - 0
FER
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |