Bassano Virtus vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassano Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
BV5
19%
26%
55%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BV5
1 - 0
ACL
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BV5
1 - 3
PIA
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
CTT
0 - 2
BV5
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
BV5
1 - 4
PAV
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 2
GER
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
ABN
2 - 4
PAD
13%
23%
63%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PAD
3 - 1
PRO
78%
16%
7%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CUN
1 - 1
PAD
15%
24%
61%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
PAD
2 - 1
USC
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |