Bassano Virtus vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassano Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BV5
2 - 0
TRI
27%
27%
47%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BV5
1 - 2
SIR
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FER
0 - 0
BV5
32%
28%
40%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BV5
1 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
BV5
61%
24%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SPE
1 - 0
ACP
64%
23%
14%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
SPE
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SPE
0 - 2
POR
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
SPE
22%
27%
51%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 0
PER
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |