Basingstoke Town vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
WOK
2 - 0
BAS
63%
22%
16%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BAS
0 - 2
BRA
20%
26%
55%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
WES
1 - 0
BAS
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 0
FAR
18%
23%
59%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 0
DOR
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
THU
1 - 1
DAR
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
HAV
4 - 1
THU
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
DOV
1 - 0
THU
69%
19%
11%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
THU
1 - 3
BIS
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
THU
2 - 2
HAM
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |