Basingstoke Town vs Hungerford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
14º
14º
36
8º
21º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 96 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 90 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 77 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 76 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 73 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 68 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 63 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 60 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 57 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 57 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 54 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 54 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 52 |
13º
|
6% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 50 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
21º
|
25 | 46 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 46 |
16º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 46 |
17º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 45 |
18º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 44 |
19º
|
13% | |
|
19º
|
29 | 44 |
20º
|
12.5% | |
|
20º
|
26 | 40 |
21º
|
27% | |
|
22º
|
19 | 27 |
22º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 2
TAU
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 2
BAS
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 1
BAS
22%
21%
57%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TAU
1 - 0
BAS
31%
23%
46%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 0
WAL
35%
24%
40%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Hungerford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HAV
0 - 0
HUN
41%
23%
36%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
HUN
1 - 2
BRA
31%
23%
45%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 2
HUN
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HUN
3 - 1
SHO
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
HUN
0 - 0
FRO
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |