FA Cup Previa 2
Global 5-2
Basingstoke Town vs Harrow Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
WEA
0 - 1
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
EBB
1 - 2
BAS
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
WHI
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CON
2 - 3
BAS
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BRI
0 - 2
BAS
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
VCD
3 - 2
HAR
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 0
HAR
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 1
WAL
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PEA
4 - 1
HAR
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 2
BOG
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |