Basingstoke Town vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
28%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BEA
3 - 2
BAS
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
GOS
3 - 2
BAS
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 1
WAL
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SWI
5 - 2
BAS
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 1
HEN
25%
21%
54%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
FAR
1 - 0
STA
79%
12%
8%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
FAR
1 - 1
HAR
34%
21%
45%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
WIM
1 - 1
FAR
50%
20%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
KIN
5 - 1
FAR
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
FAR
1 - 0
WAL
43%
22%
36%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |