Basingstoke Town vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BIS
5 - 3
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
BRO
36%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CHM
1 - 0
BAS
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
HAV
1 - 0
BAS
55%
22%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
HAV
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BRO
3 - 0
FAR
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CHM
3 - 1
FAR
31%
23%
46%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
CON
5 - 0
FAR
53%
22%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 0
GOS
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
FAR
0 - 2
STA
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |