Basingstoke Town vs Eastleigh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BAT
1 - 0
BAS
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
WES
2 - 1
BAS
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BRO
1 - 3
BAS
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 3
MAI
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 1
BAS
25%
26%
49%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
DOV
2 - 0
EAS
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
HAV
0 - 0
EAS
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
EAS
2 - 0
BOR
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 2
THU
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
WOK
1 - 0
EAS
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |