Basingstoke Town vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 4
BAS
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
HAR
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
WEA
0 - 1
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
EBB
1 - 2
BAS
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
WHI
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 1
CHM
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CHM
0 - 0
BAR
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
HAV
2 - 3
CHM
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
CHM
0 - 1
CON
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
STA
0 - 2
CHM
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |