Basingstoke Town vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
47.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 1
BAS
70%
19%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
AFT
3 - 0
BAS
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 2
EAS
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 1
DOV
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
WES
5 - 2
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
DOV
2 - 4
CHM
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CHM
1 - 1
DOV
53%
22%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CHM
3 - 1
COL
37%
25%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 2
CHM
27%
28%
45%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CHM
3 - 2
STA
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |