Basingstoke Town vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 2
WHI
52%
23%
26%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TON
0 - 0
BAS
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 2
HAY
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
EAS
1 - 1
BAS
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
SUT
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
BRO
4 - 0
HOR
28%
25%
46%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 0
WES
56%
25%
19%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
BIL
1 - 1
HOR
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 1
DOV
35%
28%
38%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 1
BOR
36%
29%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |