Basford United vs Workington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
RFC
3 - 1
BAS
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
3 - 1
LAN
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SCA
3 - 1
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
6 - 0
MAT
71%
17%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 3
STA
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
WOR
1 - 1
MAR
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KNA
1 - 4
WOR
13%
16%
71%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
HED
2 - 0
WOR
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
WOR
5 - 3
NEW
56%
20%
23%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 1
WOR
25%
20%
55%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |