Basford United vs United of Manchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
GAI
1 - 0
BAS
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 0
WIT
68%
18%
13%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 0
MOR
58%
21%
21%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
STA
2 - 3
BAS
32%
23%
45%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BAS
3 - 0
BAM
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
UNM
3 - 3
MIC
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BUX
2 - 2
UNM
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
WHI
1 - 2
UNM
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
7 - 0
UNM
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
HYD
1 - 5
UNM
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |