Basford United vs Lancaster City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 1
MAT
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
HYD
2 - 3
BAS
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
TAM
0 - 0
BAS
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BAS
7 - 3
NAN
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +3 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
MIC
0 - 1
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
MOR
3 - 2
LAN
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LAN
2 - 1
RFC
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LAN
4 - 0
LLA
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
LAN
3 - 3
BAR
24%
25%
51%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
LAN
2 - 1
WHI
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |