Basford United vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
SCA
1 - 1
BAS
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 0
BAS
73%
17%
11%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
BAM
1 - 3
BAS
33%
23%
44%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 0
STA
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MAT
2 - 1
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
GAI
4 - 1
BAM
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
GAI
2 - 2
MIC
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 0
GAI
85%
11%
4%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
RUS
2 - 0
GAI
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
WIT
1 - 0
GAI
53%
24%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |