Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
10º
5º
11
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
10 | 41 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 38 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 37 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 35 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 33 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 29 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 23 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 23 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 22 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 21 |
12º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
74% | 83% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
26% | 17% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
BAS
12%
18%
70%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SCF
6 - 0
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 0
YVE
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SUB
0 - 8
BAS
3%
9%
88%
|
85 | 11 | 74 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LOC
0 - 3
ZUR
4%
13%
83%
|
84 | 17 | 67 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
48%
24%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZUG
0 - 2
ZUR
5%
14%
81%
|
84 | 37 | 47 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 0
ZUR
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ZUR
2 - 0
LAU
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |