Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
BAS
3 - 2
YOB
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
SIO
1 - 0
BAS
9%
17%
74%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 0
NEX
79%
15%
7%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
LUG
2 - 1
BAS
11%
19%
70%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 0
SIO
77%
16%
8%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2020 |
NEX
1 - 1
ZUR
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
ZUR
2 - 0
SER
41%
25%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
THU
3 - 2
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
ZUR
1 - 0
LUG
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2020 |
STG
0 - 4
ZUR
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |