Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 2
TOT
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
STG
1 - 1
BAS
24%
24%
53%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
TOT
2 - 2
BAS
60%
22%
19%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
FCL
0 - 4
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
THU
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ZUR
2 - 4
GCZ
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ZUR
1 - 3
STG
50%
26%
25%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SER
1 - 2
ZUR
22%
23%
55%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
THU
0 - 4
ZUR
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ZUR
3 - 1
SIO
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |