Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
FCV
2 - 1
BAS
13%
18%
69%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
SIO
4 - 2
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
4 - 1
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCV
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 3
GCZ
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ZUR
2 - 1
GCZ
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
STG
3 - 1
ZUR
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
ZUR
3 - 1
YOB
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
RBS
2 - 0
ZUR
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 2
ZUR
16%
22%
62%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |