Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1987 |
SER
4 - 0
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
BAS
2 - 1
STG
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
BAS
1 - 1
BEL
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
SIO
3 - 1
BAS
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
BAS
0 - 1
GCZ
26%
26%
49%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1987 |
YOB
1 - 1
ZUR
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SER
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
ZUR
0 - 1
GCZ
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
BEL
1 - 2
ZUR
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
ZUR
3 - 0
SIO
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |