Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
BAS
1 - 3
SSW
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
NEX
2 - 5
BAS
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
BAS
5 - 0
YFJ
88%
9%
3%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1977 |
GCZ
0 - 1
BAS
56%
21%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
ETO
1 - 0
BAS
24%
28%
48%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
ZUR
1 - 0
CSK
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
ZUR
1 - 2
SER
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
ZUR
2 - 1
YOB
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
ETO
2 - 1
ZUR
18%
27%
55%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
NEX
1 - 2
ZUR
46%
24%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |