Basel vs Zug 94 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1984 |
GCZ
3 - 0
BAS
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1984 |
BAS
5 - 1
BEL
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1984 |
FCL
4 - 1
BAS
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1984 |
BAS
4 - 2
STG
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1984 |
YOB
2 - 0
BAS
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Zug 94
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1984 |
ZUG
2 - 3
FCW
30%
30%
40%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |