Basel vs Yverdon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
BAS
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 1
SCH
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 0
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 4
ZUR
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
YVE
0 - 3
ZUR
20%
23%
58%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
YOB
2 - 1
YVE
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
YVE
1 - 0
STG
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ZUR
1 - 1
YVE
75%
16%
8%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
THU
3 - 0
YVE
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |