Basel vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
8.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
LAU
0 - 1
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
BAS
4 - 1
CSC
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
ATM
1 - 1
BAS
80%
13%
7%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
BAS
1 - 2
ATM
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
CEL
4 - 2
BAS
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1976 |
WIN
1 - 1
SIO
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
LAU
3 - 0
WIN
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |