Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 2-4
Basel vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
YVE
1 - 2
BAS
15%
21%
65%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2005 |
THU
3 - 0
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 0
SCH
82%
12%
6%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
BAS
2 - 0
NEX
77%
15%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
BRE
5 - 2
ARB
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2005 |
S04
2 - 1
BRE
37%
26%
37%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
BRE
1 - 0
LEV
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
KAI
1 - 2
BRE
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
BRE
4 - 1
SCF
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |