Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 3-4
Basel vs VV Dos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1966 |
VVD
2 - 1
BAS
55%
19%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
VCF
5 - 1
BAS
82%
12%
7%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
BAS
1 - 3
VCF
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1964 |
STR
5 - 2
BAS
58%
21%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1964 |
BAS
0 - 1
STR
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
VV Dos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1966 |
VVD
2 - 1
BAS
55%
19%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
PSV
2 - 3
VVD
72%
16%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
VVD
1 - 1
SIT
58%
21%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1966 |
SPA
2 - 0
VVD
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1966 |
VVD
0 - 2
MVV
58%
21%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |