Basel vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
BAS
6 - 0
STG
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
DEL
1 - 2
BAS
21%
22%
57%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
VCF
6 - 2
BAS
65%
22%
14%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
BAS
2 - 1
YOB
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
LIV
1 - 1
BAS
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
ATM
1 - 1
VCF
32%
27%
41%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
VCF
0 - 1
CEL
59%
23%
19%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
VCF
6 - 2
BAS
65%
22%
14%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
VCF
3 - 0
RAY
63%
21%
16%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 3
VCF
33%
27%
40%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |