Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 2-8
Basel vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1964 |
STR
5 - 2
BAS
58%
21%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1964 |
BAS
0 - 1
STR
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1964 |
SPO
1 - 0
BAS
30%
21%
49%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
BAS
2 - 0
SPO
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1963 |
CEL
5 - 0
BAS
65%
19%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
UDL
0 - 2
VCF
32%
28%
40%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
PON
2 - 0
VCF
33%
28%
40%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1965 |
VCF
3 - 0
HIB
77%
13%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
SAB
0 - 1
VCF
25%
28%
47%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1965 |
VCF
2 - 0
HIB
74%
14%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |