Basel vs Tromsø IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
FCA
0 - 2
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 0
STG
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2005 |
CRV
1 - 2
BAS
33%
23%
44%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 1
YVE
84%
11%
4%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
BAS
0 - 2
STR
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2005 |
TRO
3 - 1
CRV
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2005 |
STR
2 - 0
TRO
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
RBK
1 - 1
TRO
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
TRO
1 - 0
VKG
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
TRO
1 - 2
ROM
30%
28%
42%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |