Basel vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 2
ZUR
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
YOB
4 - 2
BAS
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 4
BAS
16%
21%
63%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
YVE
1 - 3
BAS
15%
20%
65%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 0
THU
65%
20%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
TOB
4 - 1
ORD
64%
21%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2006 |
ALM
1 - 0
TOB
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
TOB
1 - 0
OKZ
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
FCA
2 - 0
TOB
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
FCI
1 - 0
TOB
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |