Basel vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 2
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 2
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 2
FCV
69%
18%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
LAU
0 - 4
BAS
15%
20%
65%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
YOB
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
THU
3 - 1
FCL
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
THU
2 - 1
SIO
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
STG
1 - 2
THU
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 1
THU
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
THU
2 - 4
LAU
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |