Basel vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FCL
3 - 1
BAS
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 2
ZUR
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 3
SIO
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
GCZ
2 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 0
NEX
81%
14%
6%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
STO
4 - 1
THU
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
YOB
0 - 2
THU
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
THU
0 - 1
STO
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
THU
5 - 2
LAU
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
THU
0 - 0
NEX
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |