Basel vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
FCL
1 - 1
BAS
33%
24%
44%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 3
ROM
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 1
BEL
78%
15%
8%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
STG
1 - 3
BAS
23%
23%
53%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2010 |
ROM
1 - 3
BAS
58%
21%
20%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
THU
1 - 0
SIO
33%
27%
41%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
STG
2 - 1
THU
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GCZ
0 - 0
THU
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BUO
0 - 3
THU
12%
16%
72%
|
66 | 29 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
THU
1 - 2
NEX
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |