Basel vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 3
SCP
44%
26%
31%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
SCP
2 - 0
BAS
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BAS
3 - 0
NEX
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
STG
3 - 0
THU
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
THU
0 - 1
FCL
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
THU
2 - 2
SIO
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 0
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
THU
2 - 1
ZUR
25%
24%
51%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |