Basel vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ZUR
2 - 4
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
BAS
5 - 1
THU
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
SIR
0 - 1
BAS
31%
26%
44%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SCH
1 - 2
BAS
16%
21%
64%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 1
YOB
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
STR
0 - 1
REN
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
TRO
1 - 1
STR
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
STR
5 - 0
GRA
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
STR
2 - 4
TFC
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
STR
39%
29%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |