Basel vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 4
FCA
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
ILL
1 - 3
BAS
5%
12%
83%
|
84 | 44 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 0
WIN
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 1
BAS
16%
21%
63%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
BAS
6 - 1
RAP
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
STG
1 - 1
BHA
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
STG
4 - 0
SCB
90%
9%
2%
|
70 | 16 | 54 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
ZUR
4 - 1
STG
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
BAZ
1 - 1
STG
4%
10%
85%
|
70 | 24 | 46 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
STG
0 - 3
LAU
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |