Basel vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
NEX
3 - 0
BAS
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
BAS
0 - 1
SIO
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
FCA
2 - 1
BAS
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 0
ZUR
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
BAS
0 - 0
ZUR
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
SIO
2 - 1
STG
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
STG
0 - 0
FCA
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
ZUR
1 - 1
STG
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
STG
1 - 1
NEX
30%
27%
44%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
STG
1 - 1
LAU
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |