Basel vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
NEX
0 - 1
BAS
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
BAS
0 - 0
CSC
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
LAU
0 - 3
BAS
47%
25%
27%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
BAS
4 - 1
YOB
70%
18%
13%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
CHI
1 - 1
BAS
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
STG
6 - 0
LAC
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
SIO
2 - 2
STG
54%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
STG
2 - 1
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
LUG
2 - 2
STG
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
STG
4 - 0
ZUR
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +2 |