Basel vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
SER
2 - 2
BAS
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
BAS
1 - 3
ZUR
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
BEL
1 - 2
BAS
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
YOB
0 - 6
BAS
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
WIN
2 - 3
BAS
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
STG
1 - 4
LAU
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
CSC
2 - 0
STG
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
STG
0 - 0
GCZ
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
NEX
1 - 0
STG
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
STG
4 - 0
BEL
68%
20%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |