Basel vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
NEX
2 - 0
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
SHA
5 - 0
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
THU
0 - 4
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 1
ZUR
50%
23%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
EST
1 - 3
SCP
19%
26%
55%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SCP
2 - 0
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
SCP
2 - 5
FCB
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
NAV
0 - 1
SCP
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
SCP
0 - 1
LEX
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |