Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 2-1
Basel vs Spora Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.1%
12.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1963 |
CEL
5 - 0
BAS
65%
19%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1963 |
BAS
1 - 5
CEL
48%
22%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1962 |
BYM
3 - 0
BAS
32%
21%
47%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1962 |
BAS
0 - 3
BYM
76%
13%
12%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Spora Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
B19
9 - 2
SPO
46%
21%
34%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1961 |
SPO
0 - 6
B19
73%
14%
13%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
BVB
7 - 0
SPO
56%
19%
25%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 1956 |
SPO
2 - 1
BVB
65%
17%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 1956 |
BVB
4 - 3
SPO
54%
19%
27%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |