Champions League 1/16
Global 4-4
Basel vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
50.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
SPA
3 - 2
BAS
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
CEL
2 - 0
BAS
81%
12%
7%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
BAS
0 - 0
CEL
22%
20%
58%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
BAS
1 - 2
BOL
36%
25%
38%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
BOL
4 - 1
BAS
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
SPA
3 - 2
BAS
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1966 |
RAP
1 - 0
SPA
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1966 |
SPA
1 - 1
RAP
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
SPA
3 - 0
BEO
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
BEO
1 - 3
SPA
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |