Qualif. Champions Play Offs Final
Global 4-0
Basel vs Sheriff analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 4
FCL
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
SCF
1 - 3
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 0
BAS
17%
21%
62%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 1
DVS
66%
19%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 0
STG
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
DAC
0 - 0
SHF
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
SHF
1 - 0
NIS
81%
15%
5%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
DZG
1 - 1
SHF
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
0 - 0
SHF
39%
29%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
SHF
1 - 1
DZG
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |