Basel vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
BAS
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 2
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 2
STG
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ZUR
4 - 2
BAS
30%
23%
47%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
LAU
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
GCZ
2 - 4
SER
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
SER
1 - 0
YOB
20%
22%
58%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
LUG
2 - 0
SER
36%
26%
37%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
FCL
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
STG
5 - 1
SER
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |